The Best-Case Scenario Under Trump: Can Europe and the UK Win This Time?

It’s easy to assume that Donald Trump’s second presidency will be bad news for Europe. After all, his first term was defined by trade wars, tariffs, and an “America First” energy policy that left allies scrambling. His return to the White House has already sent European leaders into defensive mode, worried about economic isolation, more aggressive tariffs, and the collapse of transatlantic unity.

But what if, for once, things actually go right? What if Trump’s policies—whether by design or accident—end up benefiting Europe and the UK? What if, instead of another energy crisis, we see lower prices, improved trade, and a stable geopolitical environment? It sounds optimistic, maybe even naive, but in the unpredictable world of energy markets, the best-case scenario is at least worth considering.